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Post by Cole D on Sept 9, 2022 11:50:32 GMT -5
I know at my job we had so many lumber increases in 2020 and 2021 on jobs, it was sad having to constantly get lumber addendums approved and signed. Most of the builders realized what was happening though. But then you have to pass that to the customer too.
I was looking at buying a 6x6 post in late 2019 to put up a light possibly and by summer 2020 the price had increased so much already it was crazy. This year and I'd say the last several months we've been giving refunds on jobs since the lumber costs have fallen so much. But I haven't paid attention if those costs are reflected at home centers and lumber yards or not. Now though it's the costs with fuel and steel that are keeping prices up.
I wanted to build a house at some point but I don't think I'll ever afford it. My aunt was telling me her house cost $65 a square foot to build in 2004 and that is a nice house. My friend told me earlier this year they tell people they start at $150 per square foot plus land and site work. Yeah I don't think that's ever going to happen for me. LOL
I have seen some pretty big price drops here the last month or so, $20K $40K on some houses. But the houses are still very expensive and not selling. Some of them were just so overpriced that $40K is nothing and they are still overpriced. Nothing anywhere close to 2019 prices and you have double the interest rates and the houses have doubled in the last 2.5 years so your property tax and insurance will double soon after you buy.
I don't know how people afford this, I guess with two incomes you could still buy possibly, but I think people also aren't factoring in how high the taxes and insurance are going to go up either, and that's a big issue. They are basing it off the last sale which was probably at least $100K lower than it will be now.
I've also been watching videos from realtors and investors and they are saying this is similar to 2008 and wait to buy because it's going to fall. I don't remember much about the 2008 crash but looking at how high some prices went up it seems similar. And they've gone up more than that did. I was in college at the time and my parents weren't in jobs effected much by the recession so I didn't notice much other than how cheap houses got in 2012 or so.
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Post by Cole D on Sept 7, 2022 20:29:39 GMT -5
This is really starting to stress me out. I can't believe the prices from last summer to now there's a significant increase. I know people keep saying with rates going up prices will have to come down, but look at the 70s and early 80s. Rates went up like 10% but the median home prices still kept increasing then.
This is really stressing me out, I want a house so bad, and I can't believe I made such a mistake not buying in 2019 or prior. Even if I bought 2020 or last summer I would have been probably okay. But now it's just not possible. The rates are not going down anytime soon and I just feel like the prices won't either. It just keeps going higher and higher.
Plus if you rent an apartment you're stuck in a lease for a year and those have gotten ridiculous too. It worries me so much I get so angry and upset over all this. I have no idea what I'm going to do as there's just nothing to do about the high prices. That's just what houses are worth now. I just don't understand how in 2.5 years it got so bad.
I heard if prices do come down it tends to take about 6 years from the peak, I really hope it's not going to take that long, just tired of waiting.
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Post by Cole D on Sept 7, 2022 20:25:22 GMT -5
Thank you, it sounds as though she'll be fine. She also got some antibiotics today.
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Post by Cole D on Sept 5, 2022 20:11:52 GMT -5
Just found out today my grandmother has it. She said she'd felt sick a few days and tested positive today on two tests. I talked to her on the phone and she sounded raspy, but she said her fever wasn't very high, just hot at times, and she felt tired but fine otherwise.
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Post by Cole D on Sept 5, 2022 15:23:30 GMT -5
I got mine reprogrammed now, so when I unlock it, only the driver's door unlocks, and then all the doors unlock if I press unlock on the fob or touch the outside handle a a second time. This is how my old Malibu was, and I prefer this, because then if someone is hiding they can't jump in from the other side of the car when I get in. To do it, I hold down both the lock and unlock buttons on the key for a few seconds until the signals flash 3 times. And then do it again if you want to go back to all the doors unlocking at once.
Plus I have a bad habit of sitting in the car sometimes before I leave the parking lot, and not locking the doors. So in this case, then at least only the driver's door is unlocked if I forget to lock them.
I did keep the locking enabled when it gets to 15 MPH, because I prefer it to do that. However, it also unlocks all the doors automatically if I put it in park and open the driver's door from inside. And I may decide to disable that one, since again, somebody could get in on the other side when I'm parked and getting out.
One thing I learned is that on the older Fords, Lincolns and Mercuries, ONLY the ones with the keyless entry keypad (or later keyless entry keypad and remotes) locked automatically when you put the transmission into gear. The ones with just power locks didn't have that feature. And to disable or enable it you put the code into the keypad and then pressed four numbers.
But Dodge and Chryslers locked when you got to 15 MPH regardless if it had keyless entry or not.
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Post by Cole D on Sept 4, 2022 16:09:44 GMT -5
So you were fine within a week or so? They put me on prednisone that stuff is horrible. Now that I think of it I believe prednisone was one of the medications. I remember they used to put my grandpa on that a lot years ago but I don't remember why. I was over it in a week other than the smell and taste loss. The worst of it for me lasted 2-3 days and then another day with sore throat and congestion. After that it was just the occasional cough and tiredness but I had no problem working full days at home. I seemed to sleep really well for some reason.
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Post by Cole D on Sept 4, 2022 14:41:49 GMT -5
I was mostly tired for the first few days, I'd try to do something and have to sit down in about 15 minutes. Then it was runny nose and congestion for a few more days but after the first few days mostly just a light cough was all I had left. I think I did get some stomach issues with the diarreal but I don't remember any heartburn. My dad got it right as I did and I think he did mention having more heartburn especially at night. And his symptoms seemed to last longer. I don't remember much of it as I mostly stayed in my room for a few days working so it was whatever he told me after it was over. We thought it was a head cold until people at work started having positive tests.
I did lose my sense of smell and taste after a few days. It constantly smelled like I had my face in a sheet of cardboard pressed into my nose. It took a few weeks for my sense of smell to come back at all.
Probably I would second the vitamin D and take some immune boosters. When I got it I went and got tested and there was a doctor working at the test site that gave me two prescriptions as he said he could hear I was congested. I don't remember what they were though. Probably an antibiotic and something with zinc I would assume.
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Post by Cole D on Sept 3, 2022 11:16:43 GMT -5
Hey if you like it and it works. There are some newer homecenter brands that I do like the look of.
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Post by Cole D on Sept 1, 2022 21:57:03 GMT -5
I have the same issue as you nothing really good ever comes up on Marketplace or Craigslist in my area. Have you tried Habitat or other thrift stores in your area? Sometimes you can luck out, I found a nice pair of Emerson Apollos recently at a local thrift. I feel your pain, it's hard to find great performing traditional fans these days, most of the stock of the older XLP/K55 type fans from Casablanca and Emerson has sold out, and what is left is really high in price and rarer seen. The Paramounts XPs are very good fans. I second the suggestion on painting the light kit though it can be hard to match, you can match the color at some stores and have it put in spray paint cans. I may suggest the Minka Aire Supra, they can be found reasonably and have good performing motors. Motors are 188X15 on both 44" and 52", which is great for the 44" version and still very good for the 52". They are a little more transitional in looks than the Emersons, but not terribly different looking. I'm more traditional and I still like them, they have kind of a vintage Emerson styling to them. You can order online at Lowes but Build.com seems to have the most selection of finishes and way cheaper prices. Around $140-160 depending on the finish. Should be easy to find the light kit you want to match. Here's the 52" from Build.com www.build.com/product/summary/717792I would not suggest a new Panama, as both the DC and spinner versions seem to have their drawbacks and reliability is just not as great for the price range they're going for. If you can find an XLP version I'd go for it, I did get one a few years ago. Unfortunately you missed out on the deals as a year or two ago there was a clearance on them for around $120 in the XLP motor version. The XLP motor versions don't come up as often anymore, there are those two on Ebay which are quite pricey and they don't match. There are a few other transitional fans available with some quite well performing motors, which can be had rather inexpensively. One such model that comes to mind is the Monte Carlo Grand Prix, has a huge 212X25 spinner motor, and can be had around $100 on eBay. It's not bad looking. They may be too big at 60", but you do say the rooms are big so maybe it would work. I've heard good things about these though and they are nice fans for the price. I'm not sure you'll find anything like them in that price range. Grand Prix on eBay www.ebay.com/p/667260810
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Post by Cole D on Sept 1, 2022 21:44:09 GMT -5
There's a house I pass by sometimes that has an old Lincoln coupe parked in the driveway. It has the round wheel hump on the trunk, and those oval quarter windows. I do like the old 70s Lincolns with those oval windows. It's in good shape too!
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Post by Cole D on Sept 1, 2022 17:28:15 GMT -5
I can't read it but the year should be in that circle on the left side. With this tag I believe it's post 1986 at least.
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Post by Cole D on Aug 27, 2022 18:33:47 GMT -5
I thought those new Beetles were neat when they first came out but I actually never see any of them around. In fact I only ever see the vintage ones, there are about 3 or 4 I see around here. VW is too much maintenance IMO that reflects in their used prices.
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Post by Cole D on Aug 27, 2022 11:25:42 GMT -5
I still see quite a few in my area of the newer ones, sedan and SUV. Really like the MKT.
Wow I didn't even know they still made the Malibu. I was wondering on that though because recently a coworker had to rent a car and her options were Camry, Malibu or Maxima. I just figured it was a year or two old model they still had but I guess not.
I thought about getting another Malibu when I traded mine but I just couldn't get into though I liked the styling, and the one I looked at seemed high for what you got. I did really like the 2008-2012 gen, esp with the two tone interior in beige/brown. I loved the Impala both the final gen and the one before it, here I go talking in circles again.
Plus you still have VW into sedans, I've seen some Arteons around and really like the looks of it, I'd probably never buy a VW though.
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Post by Cole D on Aug 26, 2022 23:09:02 GMT -5
I love that green this generation is definitely getting rarer. I was craving a hot dog the other day and ran into a convenience store and this very polite older man walking in and I spoke for a minute and I saw he had a Town car one Of the last year models it made me smile to see someone with a big luxury car like that that he probably saved up for. Neat to see a prestige big sedan in a world of pods aka crossovers. I still see a few of that gen Town Car around a week, but more of the newer rounded ones though. What I don't ever seem to see anymore, are the square body ones from 70s/80s. One of my neighbors has a Town Car round body, it has the sensors on the bumper so guessing it's a later year model. We had an 88 when I was little, it was a very neat car, have a lot of memories of it.
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Post by Cole D on Aug 21, 2022 15:51:30 GMT -5
Some of the stuff that is happening on an election year makes no sense to me but the country is so divided on various things its like is there a swing voter or have you chosen your side at this point? I don't see wages going up. Minimum Wage has gone up but not my pay. We're having big trouble getting people hired at work. People have been leaving big time. Hmmmm but were not attracting people ever think of increasing the base wage? You approved us for over time when were salaried. You gave us our bonuses and an extra bonus but how bout jump up when a lot of people went elsewhere cause they could make a few less dollars an hour but not be super stressed. I'm starting to see less stuff popping up low end and middle stuff still high but sitting there longer. Some stuff though is still going over asking and selling in days. I could sell my house still overnight probably form where I live but my wife would NOT be happy. Its unique because there is lowish unemployment but still a lot of positions out there. I don't care what the whitehouse says we are in a recession at this point and its gonna get worse. I pray no one loses their jobs. I know a bunch of people back in '08 who did. Thankfully I was in high school at the time but the thought of losing my jobn is some scary stuff. Were definitely in a different world then we were in 2008. Where I work we've had a few new hires from 2021 and this year, but the ones we had mostly decided they didn't like the work. In fact I don't think any of the ones in my position have stayed, so we are technically somewhat understaffed as we got two and they left then hired one more and they left. I don't know what the issue was, I think it was too tedious or they weren't catching on or something, IDK. I got a raise last week, didn't hear anything about it but just showed up on my paycheck. I was surprised given how things are looking with housing and the seeming nervousness about the economy. That tells me it might not be here yet. I've just given up on having a house. I am pretty sure we either are going into/are in a recession whatever you want to call it something is happening. Large companies are doing layoffs, mortgage companies and startups (especially real estate related) are doing layoffs. Really I am more or less expecting to get laid off. The question is when, it could be next year, 2-3 years who knows. But I do know we are having/going to have a drop in construction/home sales. Now prices may or may not correct as low as they did in 2012 era, I'm not sure what is going to happen in this modern economy/real estate market. It may be that the big companies buy up everything to convert to rentals if prices do drop. Which we did NOT have happen post crash last time as foreclosures had to be vetted by owner/primary home occupiers by Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac before any investors or 2nd+ homebuyers, because of the HomePath/HomeSteps policies. That may not happen this time if corporations have enough pull with the government (and they clearly do). This is going to take a long time to play out more or less. But it could go quicker than last time depending what happens with interest rates and the economy. Right now there's still a ton of discretionary spending with people eating out/going to movies and other venues/travel, etc. Especially given many stayed home for two years whether you believe it was worth doing or not. So we aren't even anywhere into this yet, it's just starting to show. My guess I get laid off a year or two from now, so if you want to go by 2006-2012 era probably about 6 years for this mess to work it's way through and things start hiring again. I know my company I've been hearing people talk lately about how they were laid off in 2006-2009. Some of them have been hired back, I know when I started in 2014 they were just starting to hire employees again, I was about the third one they had brought in post fallout. Of course this might not go like 2006 and it goes faster/slower. Who knows. I think I'm just going to have to rent. I was trying to stay home and keep saving which is what I would like to do and what the plan has been since I've been working. But with what happened the last 3 years buying a home isn't anywhere on the horizon. Best case prices drop after this whole job situation fallout/comeback happens and I can get back in while prices are low (again if they fall much) which would put us in 2028/2029 going by the last cycle that lasted 2005-2012/13. Maybe a little later because just getting back into the higher pay is going to take a few more years, they aren't going to pay as much as they are now just after the fallout. So maybe early 2030s buying will be in the picture again? Hard to say.
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